More Early Voting information

February 18th, 2010

Something is afoot in Travis County, and it can only be good.

For the first three days of early voting, Travis County has attracted more voters in the Republican primary than the Democrat primary. Significantly more – 40-50% more! What’s more, Primary voting in the Republican primary is exceeding 2008 by a comfortable margin, while Democrat primary voting is down to 1/8th the 2008 level.

The following table gives a breakdown of Republican Primary voters thus far, but House District and voting history.

county Voters Vper HD46tot HD46 HD46per HD47tot HD47 HD47per HD48tot HD48 HD48per HD49tot HD49 HD49per HD50tot HD50 HD50per HD51tot HD51 HD51per voteclass
6002 509 8.4805 301 13 4.3189 2080 208 10.0000 1649 131 7.9442 497 37 7.4447 1312 113 8.6128 163 7 4.2945 3R
14956 202 1.3506 996 5 0.5020 4437 88 1.9833 4175 48 1.1497 1775 34 1.9155 2890 20 0.6920 683 7 1.0249 A
10463 47 0.4492 1068 5 0.4682 2789 26 0.9322 1985 5 0.2519 1460 5 0.3425 2337 4 0.1712 824 2 0.2427 A5
7271 315 4.3323 422 22 5.2133 2260 132 5.8407 2027 81 3.9961 689 29 4.2090 1620 47 2.9012 253 4 1.5810 BR
138814 485 0.3494 19115 36 0.1883 30607 154 0.5032 25146 118 0.4693 24715 78 0.3156 24576 76 0.3092 14655 23 0.1569 D
11641 47 0.4037 1436 4 0.2786 2384 11 0.4614 1810 10 0.5525 3813 13 0.3409 1112 5 0.4496 1086 4 0.3683 DF
7149 27 0.3777 1627 1 0.0615 1210 8 0.6612 1004 5 0.4980 1258 7 0.5564 1180 4 0.3390 870 2 0.2299 DS
114452 172 0.1503 13952 8 0.0573 27672 73 0.2638 19457 27 0.1388 17082 29 0.1698 24096 24 0.0996 12193 11 0.0902 G
9156 12 0.1311 1626 2 0.1230 1924 5 0.2599 1243 3 0.2414 1834 0 0.0000 1294 1 0.0773 1235 1 0.0810 I
11674 59 0.5054 1009 2 0.1982 2921 26 0.8901 3139 10 0.3186 1879 12 0.6386 1874 7 0.3735 852 2 0.2347 M
32973 81 0.2457 4328 2 0.0462 6871 27 0.3930 5556 21 0.3780 5352 19 0.3550 6655 3 0.0451 4211 9 0.2137 N
2764 87 3.1476 190 3 1.5789 797 23 2.8858 642 31 4.8287 410 10 2.4390 563 13 2.3091 162 7 4.3210 NR
24302 632 2.6006 1576 29 1.8401 7566 300 3.9651 6632 141 2.1261 2165 52 2.4018 5334 85 1.5936 1029 25 2.4295 R
881 25 2.8377 61 2 3.2787 268 10 3.7313 182 6 3.2967 170 3 1.7647 133 2 1.5038 67 2 2.9851 RF
1086 36 3.3149 109 2 1.8349 268 7 2.6119 285 13 4.5614 142 6 4.2254 224 6 2.6786 58 2 3.4483 RS
3842 123 3.2015 346 15 4.3353 939 42 4.4728 861 28 3.2520 630 13 2.0635 679 18 2.6510 387 7 1.8088 S
6898 241 3.4938 450 8 1.7778 2011 108 5.3705 2037 65 3.1910 675 18 2.6667 1469 36 2.4506 256 6 2.3438 SR
181383 138 0.0761 24626 11 0.0447 30345 35 0.1153 27446 32 0.1166 37514 36 0.0960 32112 17 0.0529 29340 7 0.0239 X

First Day of Early Voting

February 16th, 2010

The first day of early voting was surprisingly heavy. The numbers on the Republican side were slightly higher than the first day of early voting in the 2008 primary. Also interesting was the larger turnout for Republicans than Democrats.
The Democrats had a turnout that, which significantly heavier than 2006, was only 1/8th of 2008. Not certain what to make of that.

The first set of Ballot by Mail voters is also interesting, in that Republican out number Democrats almost 3 to 1. As mail ballots are not terribly interesting going forward, I did not analyze the voter styles. Overseas limited ballots were exactly tied at 28 Republicans and 28 Democrats – the only place where the Dems caught up with us.

Precinct letter

February 14th, 2010

As your Republican Precinct Chairman since 2000, I would like to thank you for your continued support. This year I am unopposed on the ballot, and look forward to serving the neighborhood as your precinct chairman now and as we prepare for the 2012 election cycle.
First off, I want to invite you to participate in the Republican Primary. I know many people have said “there is not a dime’s worth of difference between the parties – they are all crooks.” But I think the vast difference between the parties has been made clear in the first year of the Obama presidency. First it was taking over the banking system, then auto manufacturers, then auto dealers, then attempts to take over health care and destroy all industry through extreme energy taxes. An incomprehensible foreign policy that appeases our enemies and insults our friends, and a domestic policy with exponential growth in the debt. Texas Republicans stand in stark contrast to that flagrant political take over. Our 2008 platform, and our candidates, recognize that the powers of government should be limited and few.
Please stand up and be counted with those who disagree with the federal take-overs. Voting in the Republican Primary is one of the clearest ways this year to take that stand. I attended quite a few “Tea Party” rallies and town-hall meetings, and I’m certain our message of concern for the sharp change in direction was heard, but I can assure you that the only poll or protest that all elected officials take seriously is in the voting booth.
This election cycle will be a long one. There are likely to be 5 elections this year, and 3 Republican conventions. Early voting for the first of these elections begins on Tuesday, February 16th, with election day voting and the Precinct Conventions occurring on Tuesday, March 2nd. Due to the large number of candidates for Texas Supreme Court place 3, there will almost certainly be a runoff on Tuesday, April 13th. In addition, there will be Municipal elections in May, with a potential runoff in June, followed by a slight respite before the general election on Tuesday, November 2nd.
Early voting for the primary will be held at the MT Supermarket at Lamar and Kramer, as well as Goodwill Industries on Norwood (near the Walmart off US-183 and I-35). Or, a little further west, the Randalls at 183 and Braker is another early polling place. However, you can vote at any of the early polling places in Travis County during early voting.
On the night of the primary, Republican primary voters will be meeting again at Walnut Creek Elementary School to conduct our Precinct Convention. The Precinct Convention begins at 8:00pm. At that convention, we elect delegates to Senatorial District Convention and pass a set of resolutions to form our precinct platform. On March 20th, all of the delegates from Travis County will be meeting for our Senatorial District Conventions. That convention will elect delegates to the State Convention, and also pass a Senatorial District platform from the resolutions passed in precinct conventions. Finally, on June 11th and 12th, all State Delegates will meet in Dallas for our State Convention. At the state convention we will elect our state party leaders, as well as create a state platform from the Senatorial District platforms. As you can see, the basis for party leadership and platform all starts at the precinct convention. I hope you will consider coming. The precinct convention is really a lot of fun – its the time when we as Republicans can get together and discuss the ideas that make us Republican.
The Senatorial District Convention makes for a very long day, but it is also a lot of fun and informative. The convention will begin at 9:00am and go until we have completed our business – last time it was well after dark. In addition to voting on procedures and delegates, and discussing and crafting a platform, we will also hear from candidates for office. If you don’t know our candidates personally, the convention is a great time to get to know them. Our precinct will be allowed 10 Delegates and 10 Alternates to the Senatorial District Convention. And there should be more State Delegate slots this year, due to a rule change passed in 2008.
This year, in addition to other duties, I will be running for the state party office of State Republican Executive Committeeman for Senatorial District 14. That election will be held on the second day of the State Convention (June 12th). In order for me to be elected, I need help at three levels. First, when I attend the Precinct Convention, I will need to be elected as a delegate to the Senatorial District Convention. Secondly, at Senatorial District Convention I will need to be elected a delegate to the State Convention. And finally, at State Convention I will need help gaining votes from around the county.
Now, just a few brief words about the ballot. I’ve been writing blog entries with a lot of background information on the various contested races, so I won’t repeat all of my reasons here, but I want to just recap my recommendations:

I am always available for questions and concerns about the party. If you need any assistance, please feel free to call me at 694-0654 or email me at dmcdonald@travisgop.org

3rd Court of Appeals place 4

February 12th, 2010

The Third Court of appeals is, arguably, the most important court in Texas. In addition to hearing criminal and civil appeals, it hears every case involving the State Government. Of the two candidates for place 4, I am endorsing Melissa Goodwin.
Judge Goodwin has experience as a sitting Judge. She served as Justice of the Peace, and as a District Judge covering hard felony criminal cases. Her private practice has a significant appeals focus, both in civil and criminal cases, and her early experience was as a briefing clerk for the Court of Criminal Appeals. Her opponent, Scott Fields, has a mostly civil background. He is a civil litigator with significant experience at the Appeals, State Supreme Court, and US Circuit Court levels. He is well qualified for the complex civil litigation that often comes before the 3rd Court. But that is his only focus. The court as currently constituted is heavy on civil practice attorneys. For more diversity of opinion, I believe Goodwin would provide a more rounded view of the law in all of its facets.
Finally, there is the issue of Republican party loyalty. Goodwin has been working in the trenches of the Republican Party for decades. She has a long record in various Republican clubs, as a delegate to various conventions, and voting in every Republican primary election. King has only voted in one Republican primary, 2006, despite living in Travis County for almost a decade. He made campaign contributions to the current sitting Democrat Chief Justice Woody Jones in 2008. It is hard for me to back a man for party office who only gave money to Democrats before announcing his candidacy as a Republican.

Other Races in Travis County

February 12th, 2010

I want to say a few words about a few of the races in other parts of Travis County. I have done considerable research on these, but I just want to put a couple of sentences out on each one.
For US House District 25, I am recommending Donna Campbell. I believe Dr. Campbell’s vibrant campaign will be able to sway many voters from long-time Democrat incumbent and co-author of the health-care bill Lloyd Doggett. Dr. Campbell’s campaign is not only exciting and drawing many active workers and volunteers, it is based on solid Republican values. Dr. Campbell gets it right on most issues, and I look forward to having sensible representation in Congress for all of Travis County. Her opponent, George Morovich, is a fine man with good ideas. He has a solid track record of being able to take votes from Doggett, as he proved in 2008. But his campaign is mostly in tatters, dwelling on the past rather than looking to the future. He has had a hard time keeping campaign staffers, much less volunteers.
For US House District 21, I am endorsing Lamar Smith. Smith has a long record of admirable service in congress. He does admit his mistake of voting for TARP. Smith is right on the ideas, has good debating skills and is able to build coalitions to get good legislation passed. His opponent, Stephen Schoppe, has no record, and has focused his entire campaign on why Smith is bad without stating why he is better. On the issues, I disagree often with Schoppe.
For Justice of the Peace District 3, I believe Michael Barre to be the better candidate for Travis County than Madeline O’Connor, despite my previous endorsements of her in 2006 and 2008. In 2006 she ran as a Republican for a District Court spot. in 2008, she ran in the Democrat primary for a different District Court position. Her experience in the Attorney General’s office suits her much more for a District Court, or even a County Court at law position than Justice of the Peace. I see her run for Justice of the Peace as merely resume padding. Michael Barre, on the other hand, is a fine, detailed lawyer. He practices as an intellectual property attorney, has a good grasp of the law, and would be a fair and honest judge. He would likely be able to serve in that position for a long time, and Travis County would be better off for it.
House District 47 is a more fickle kettle of fish. I have only interacted with two of the three candidates. Paul Workman is a fine, successful businessman who has lived and worked in Travis County for decades. As president of his trade association, he has been active in the Texas house, formulating and promoting legislation. His ideas are sound and his values are right, and I would find him a welcome addition. Holly Turner, on the other hand, is a young lady with a great deal of drive and charisma. I think she would be better suited to “take Valinda Bolton on” and win victory in the fall. But she has a number of liabilities. The first is that she is new to the district. Her husband runs a campaign consulting firm, and they were living in Fort Worth until very soon before the filing deadline. He moved down here to be closer to his clients. I also am leery of some of Turner’s views and legislative plans. I would also expect her to continue to back Speaker Joe Strauss, a moderate Republican elected mostly by Democrats in 2008, who managed to kill most of the Republican proposals and gave Democrats much more power in the legislature than their voting strength deserves. For the third candidate, I have yet to meet David Sewell, and can make no recommendations at this time.
Finally, State Board of Education Place 5 provides an easy endorsement for incumbent Ken Mercer. Mercer has been instrumental in maintaining the coalition of conservative members of the State Board of Education, helping Texas maintain traditional values and actual content in schools. His opponent, Tim Tuggey, is a lobbyist, and has lobbied for Textbook publishers. I do not believe he would hold up Texas Values as strongly as Ken Mercer has demonstrated.

Primary Ballot Propositions

February 12th, 2010

The State Republican Executive Committee has placed 5 propositions on the ballot. These are non-binding, for the purpose of encouraging skittish Republicans to pay attention to the Republican Platform. A “YES” vote on all of these will encourage the party leadership to push these ideas forward.
Incidentally, the main contributer on the State Republican Executive Committee resolutions sub-committee, which produced these propositions, is Brian Russell. So, if you agree with these positions, and vote for them, I hope you will also vote for Brian Russell in the State Board of Education District 10 race.

Ballot Proposition #1: Photo ID

The Texas legislature should make it a priority to protect the integrity of our election process by enacting legislation that requires voters to provide valid photo identification in order to cast a ballot in any and all elections conducted in the State of Texas.

Ballot Proposition #2: Controlling Government Growth

Every government body in Texas should be required to limit any annual increase in its budget and spending to the combined increase of population and inflation unless it first gets voter approval to exceed the allowed annual growth or in the case of an official emergency.

Ballot Proposition #3: Cutting Federal Income Taxes

In addition to aggressively eliminating irresponsible federal spending, Congress should empower American citizens to stimulate the economy by Congress cutting federal income taxes for all federal taxpayers, rather than spending hundreds of billions of dollars on so-called “federal economic stimulus”.

Ballot Proposition #4: Public Acknowledgment of God

The use of the word “God”, prayers, and the Ten Commandments should be allowed at public gatherings and public educational institutions, as well as be permitted on government buildings and property.

Ballot Proposition #5: Sonograms

The Texas Legislature should enact legislation requiring a sonogram to be performed and shown to each mother about to undergo a medically unnecessary, elective abortion.

Texas Governor

February 12th, 2010

I support Rick Perry for Governor. Rick has worked hard to pass legislation that I care about. He has the best record of any Governor in the country reducing abortions and promoting adoptions. He took a state with a huge deficit and gave us a state that has maintained a surplus. While the rest of the nation has been plunged in deep recession, Texas has been adding jobs – not just government jobs as Medina claimed, but real, honest-to-goodness private sector jobs. And even the City of Austin has seen sales-tax revenue increase 11% since last year. Texas is growing in population and prosperity, and will continue to grow under Rick Perry.
That’s not to say that I always agree with him. He has made significant mistakes. He handled the Trans Texas Corridor poorly. If the Trans Texas Corridor had focused first on expanding roads for Texans where the congestion is worst, I think he would have had much greater success.
I’m very glad that our slim Republican majority in the Texas House was able to overturn his executive order on the HPV vaccine. Although I understand his motive, I would be greatly concerned about vaccinating my then-13-year-old daughter with a vaccine with no track record. The promise of the drug – to save thousands of twenty-something young ladies from a slow and painful death – was surely appealing. Better methods could have been used to promote it without the “mandate” language.
And there have been other Perry missteps. Tax reforms are always messy. Much more so when they are only half-passed. Until appraisal reform has been realized in Texas, tax swaps to reduce property taxes will always end up badly for the tax-payer.
But I still feel that Perry has been, in balance, an excellent leader for the State of Texas and that he more yet to give to our State.
In the past 36 hours, a little-known outsider named Debra Medina has demonstrated, for all the world to see, why she should remain a little-known outsider. She has worked herself into a tight box. Her base supporters are not Republican activists; rather, they are libertarian-leaning, anti-establishment types. Many of them have so little pride in their country that they believe the Government would actually stage terror attacks. Debra Medina needs these people: they form the bulk of her campaign force. If she insults them by declaring that “9-11 Truth” is a vicious, absurd lie, then they will leave her campaign immediately. If she doesn’t, then the sensible folks who have a beef with Perry and are convinced that Kay Bailey Hutchinson offers a bleaker outlook will not vote for her. For those of us involved in state politics, Medina has raised red flags for some time. For those in the “Tea Party” movement, her followers have given us pause. Her true character has been revealed in her statements, and I am very glad that it is out in the open now.
Kay Bailey Hutchinson? Hardly a fiscal conservative – she has voted for almost every spending increase ever proposed. Hardly a leader – you have to look long and hard to find legislation that she has written and promoted. And hardly upholding Texas values. Her record of constituent services for our Servicemen is abysmal. Her votes in favor of abortion-on-demand are several and prominent. I only hope that, after she loses the primary, she will keep her promise to resign from the senate so that a better Texas leader can take the point position to defeat the Democrats agenda.
Perry’s record is strikingly different. He has reduced State spending and lowered State Taxes. He encouraged and signed with pride a rising cascade of bills reducing abortions: Women’s Right to Know, Parental Notification, Parental Consent, Fetal Protection, increased funding for Adoption, strengthened adoptive parents rights. Promoting Adult Stem-Cell research to develop hundreds of effective therapies saving thousands of lives while opposing the morally bankrupt embryonic stem cell research that has thus far yielded nothing but deadly tumors. There is a lot to like about Rick Perry, and I hope you will join me in voting for him.

Endorsement in US House District 10

February 10th, 2010

I am pleased to endorse Michael T. McCaul for US Representative in House District 10. Michael has been a firm supporter of the Texas Republican Platform. He has consistently voted well, is well respected by his peers, and has written cogent and constitutional legislation. McCaul has stood strong on life issues, on border security and other homeland security issues, and against the take over of our healthcare and energy industries.
McCaul also has a strong campaign organization. I expect he will do well against Ted Ankara in the November General election. I would encourage voters to receive the public newsletters put out by McCaul’s office.

House District 50

February 10th, 2010

Texas State House District 50 is one of the more important races in Travis County. The Democrat incumbent – Mark Strama – wields a lot of power within the House, receiving appointments from moderate Republican Joe Strauss. Two Republican candidates are vying for the opportunity of defeating Strama in the November election.
Ryan Lambert is a young, idealistic fellow with no experience in politics. In public speeches, and in personal interviews, I find that he is unclear on many basic issues that would be before him.
His opponent, Patrick McGuinness, has been involved in political activism for years. I’ve worked with him on various projects over the past 8 years. Pat has a solid understanding of issues at the Legislature. He supports the Republican Party Platform, and has good writing skills to be able to craft legislation worth voting for. He also has the campaign skills to be able to challenge Mark Strama effectively. A 20-year resident of Travis County and House District 50, he has solid roots in the district.
I am happy to be able to add my endorsement to his endorsements from The Texas Alliance for Life, Central Texas Republican Assembly, Empower Texas, and the Young Conservatives of Texas.

SBOE Place 10 Endorsement

February 8th, 2010

As a follow-up to Back Story on SBOE Place 10
I am pleased to join the Texas Republican Assembly in endorsing Brian Russell for the State Board of Education place 10. Brian has a keen understanding of Education policy, a history of leadership for Republican causes, and the skill to write good policy. It is not enough to be able to vote for good policy. If Republicans are going to lead, we need people who can write good policy that is worth voting for. Brian Russell provides that ability with documented experience.